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Gold Bullish Over Risk-Off Sentiment – IMF Cuts Growth Forecast

On Tuesday, the precious metal gold trades below the weekly high level of $1,306. Most of the surge in commodities was triggered as the dollar and equities declined after the International Monetary Fund cut its global economic growth forecasts for the year. On Wednesday, gold added around 0.5% to trade at $1,303.9, having hit its highest since March 28 at $1,306.09.

What triggered a bullish bias?

The main reason behind the sharp buying in gold is the risk-off sentiment. Investors jumped towards gold after the IMF downgraded global economic growth from 3.5% to 3.3%.

Secondly, the People’s Bank of China bank acquired another 11.2 tonnes of gold in March, carrying its total reserves to 1,885 tonnes. Turkey also increased its holdings.

Thirdly, the traders await the FOMC meeting minutes for March meeting, which are due later today. Recalling the fact the Federal Reserve shifts its hawkish tone to dovish during the previous policy meeting, any further shift in tone can trigger volatility in gold.

Technical Analysis
On the technical side, gold consolidates in a narrow trading range of $1.306-$1,301. The bearish breakout of this range can trigger a sell-off until $1,295 and $1,291. Whereas, the bullish breakout at $1,306 can open further room for buyers until $1,312.

Good luck!

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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