WTI Dips to Complete 38.2% Fibo, Buckle Up to Trade EIA Report - Forex News by FX Leaders
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WTI Dips to Complete 38.2% Fibo, Buckle Up to Trade EIA Report

Posted Wednesday, July 3, 2019 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

On Wednesday, WTI crude oil prices bounced slightly after an abrupt fall from 59.50 to 56.30. The sell-off came in response to the OPEC and its allies’ decision to continue production cuts; however, the investors didn’t consider it enough to counter investors’ concerns about the slowing global economy.

Today, investors are looking to trade crude oil on the release of EIA report. Here’s what to expect.

API & EIA Inventories Report

The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported another huge crude stockpile draw of 5 million barrels, beating the analyst forecast of 2.484-million barrels draw last week.

During the previous week, the API reported a draw of 7.55-million barrels and a day later, the EIA reported that the US inventories had drawn down by a much larger 12.8 million barrels.

With that in mind, can we expect EIA to report another draw today? If yes, then is it going be more significant than 5 million? Well, a bigger than 5 million draw may help support oil prices. While a smaller draw may bring more sellers to crude oil.

Support Resistance
55.18 58.51
53.99 60.65
50.66 63.98
Key Trading Level: 57.32

WTI Crude Oil – Trade Idea

I’m speculating that the inventory draw by 2.8 million barrels is already priced in and also it was comparatively very less than -12.8m barrels last week. Therefore, oil prices may drop on the release of the EIA report.

That being said, I will be looking to stay bullish above $56 to target $57.35 and $58 on the release of bigger than 5.5 million barrels’ draw in inventories. All the best!

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About the author

Arslan Butt // Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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