WTI Crude Oil Under Pressure – Trade War & API Report Weighs

Posted Thursday, September 5, 2019 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

During the Asian session, WTI crude oil prices dropped as increasing US crude stockpiles outweighed positive news that came from the United States and China trade war. The WTI futures dropped by 0.3% to trade at $56.12. Most of the selling came due to the ongoing US-China trade war issue and the surge in WTI crude oil inventories.

On Wednesday, the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a surprise crude oil inventory build of 401,000 barrels for the week ending August 29, compared to analyst expectations of a 3.50-million barrel draw.

Well, builds in crude oil stockpiles take away from last week’s draw in crude oil inventories of 11.1 million barrels. Build of crude oil inventories can be due to ongoing tensions between the US & China as tit-for-tat retaliation is hurting both nations. Thus, traders are lowering their holdings of crude oil stocks.

Crude Oil Inventories – 15:00 GMT

The Energy Information Administration will report the stockpile data at 15:00 GMT today. During the previous week, the EIA report shocked the market, causing a massive buying in crude oil. As per the report, the EIA stockpile fell by 10M vs. forecast of 2.4M draw.

The draw of 2.4 million barrels is on the cards and we may see strong price action only in case of a surprisingly high build or draw in EIA report.

Meanwhile, at the Honk Kong front, the leader of Hong Kong Carrie Lam has finally accepted to dismiss the bill that started protests at home and offered further support to the risk-on sentiment.

Daily Support and Resistance

S3 50.48

S2 52.98

S1 54.47

Pivot Point 55.48

R1 56.97

R2 57.98

R3 60.47

WTI Crude Oil – Trade Idea 

The idea is to stay bearish below and bullish above 55.50 trading level with an upper target of 56.90 and lower target of 55.15.

Good luck!

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