S&P 500, U.S. Stocks Showing Weakness

Going into the weekend, a bearish bias is warranted toward the December E-mini S&P 500 as well as U.S. stocks in general.

large caps

U.S. stocks have put in a tight week, with the FED dominating the financial news cycle. However, the pending Trump/Biden election and lack of a second COVID-19 stimulus package are also impacting sentiment. Halfway through the Friday session, the DJIA DOW (-63), S&P 500 SPX (-22), and NASDAQ (-115) are in negative territory. Thus far, it appears that traders are taking a moderately risk-off posture going into the weekend.

The headliner of today’s economic calendar was the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Sept.). September’s figure came in at 78.9, up from August (74.1) and above projections (75.0). While not a monster gain, the uptick does tell us that U.S. economic conditions continue to improve. 

One of the key stories impacting U.S. stocks is the progression of a second sweeping government stimulus package. At this point, Republican and Democratic Congressional leaders are at an impasse. And, with the 3 November 2020 Election Day rapidly approaching, traders are questioning whether or not more stimulus is on the way. Popular opinion says yes, politics say no. The reality is that there are under 50 days left until the election ― neither side is interested in compromising unless it is politically expedient. 

U.S. Stocks Fade Going Into The Weekend

The daily chart below for December E-mini S&P 500 futures is a pretty good illustration of a downtrend. Following the early September sell-off, price failed repeatedly to hold above the 38% Retracement (3397.00). Now, this market is once again falling toward the Swing Low (3286.00).

stocks
December E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES), Daily Chart

Here are two levels to watch for next week:

  • Resistance(1): 38% Retracement, 3397.00
  • Support(1): Swing Low, 3286.00

Overview: Currently, a bearish bias is warranted toward the December E-mini S&P 500 as well as U.S. stocks in general. Barring a surprise stimulus bill announcement, this market is likely to open Monday’s trade near-flat or in the red.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Shain Vernier
US Analyst
Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.

Related Articles

Comments

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
0 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

HFM

Doo Prime

XM

Best Forex Brokers