DOW Futures In Position To Extend Losing Streak

The December E-mini DOW is mounting a rally after a dreadful overnight session. Can the DOW snap its two-day losing streak?

Shain Vernier•Thursday, October 15, 2020•2 min read

For the third-straight session, December E-mini DOW futures are well into the red. The negative price action is a bit perplexing for U.S. equities bulls, who opened the week driving toward all-time highs. Now, it appears that the tides have turned. At the midway point of the Wall Street session, the DJIA DOW (-107), S&P 500 SPX (-23), and NASDAQ (-138) are all in the red. A COVID-19 second wave and stimulus standoff are once again being credited for the equities market weakness.

It’s Thursday in the coronavirus world, and that means it’s time for U.S. unemployment. Here are this week’s jobless claims stats:

Event Actual Projected Previous

Continuing Jobless Claims (Oct. 2) 10.018M 10.700M 11.183M

Initial Jobless Claims (Oct. 9) 898K 825K 845K

To sum up, Continuing Jobless Claims continue to fall, yet Initial Jobless Claims are on the uptick. All in all, this isn’t a good sign as it appears that the COVID-19 employment recovery is stalling. Two reasons for the rise in Initial Jobless Claims may be that the added unemployment benefits remain in place and many summer-season jobs are drawing to close. Of course, these figures remain extremely high and are a point of concern for politicians moving forward.

One saving grace for the DOW today was the Philadelphia FED Manufacturing Survey (Oct.). The figure came in at 32.3, more than doubling projections (14.0) and the previous release (15.0). This report was a good sign for the manufacturing sector, as the coronavirus economic recovery’s trajectory remains positive.

DOW In Negative Territory, Losing Streak Stands At Two

For the December E-mini DOW, bargain hunters are mounting a rally after a dreadful overnight session. Rates are well off intraday lows and may swing positive. Can the DOW snap its two-day losing streak?

December E-mini DOW Futures (YM), Daily Chart

Here are the levels worth watching in this market ahead of the weekend:

Resistance(1): All-Time High, 29,180
Support(1): Bollinger MP, 27,920
Support(2): 38% Macro Wave Retracement, 27,914

Bottom Line: If the December E-mini DOW continues its losing ways, a trend-following long trade will come into play. As long as the October high remains intact (28,846, not pictured), I’ll have buy orders in the queue from 27,928. With an initial stop loss at 27,848, this trade yields 80 ticks on a standard 1:1 risk vs reward ratio.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Shain Vernier

US Analyst

Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.