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NFP

U.S. Markets Rally Despite Downturn In NFP

Posted Friday, December 4, 2020 by
Shain Vernier • 1 min read

For the better part of a month, U.S. stocks have been on a significant bull run. The big three equities indices are up big, suggesting that positive sentiment is running near all-time highs. Today has been no different. After a sluggish U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, the DJIA DOW (+175), S&P 500 SPX (+25), and NASDAQ (+75) are all in the green. At this point, it appears as though nothing can derail the late-2020 American stock market rally.

Today’s headliners were the jobs numbers from November. Here’s a quick look at the highlights:

Event                                                                    Actual                   Projected          Previous

Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) (Nov.)                         245K                       469K                     610K

Unemployment Rate (Nov.)                                 6.7%                        6.8%                    6.9%

Labor Force Participation Rate (Nov.)                61.5%                      NA                      61.7%

No doubt about it, the second wave of COVID-19 has hampered hiring in the United States. NFP came in at 245,000, nearly half of the projected number of 469,000. However, the Unemployment Rate (Nov.) beat expectations, falling from 6.9% to 6.7%. As of now, it looks like the Fed’s September projection of 7.6% unemployment by year’s end has missed its mark.

NASDAQ Rallies As NFP Disappoints

For the December E-mini NASDAQ, it has been a strong five days. Values are currently in a position to close the week at an all-time high level despite today’s NFP. Can anything stop the NASDAQ from hitting 13,000?

NFP
December E-mini NASDAQ Futures (NQ), Weekly Chart

Overview: As we roll into the first weekend of December, the NASDAQ continues to grind higher. The key numbers on the horizon are 12,750 and 13,000. If we see a COVID-19 stimulus breakthrough over the weekend, a Monday-morning GAP up is possible.

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