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GBP/USD

GBP/USD Reverses Its Mid-Week Course

Posted Wednesday, March 3, 2021 by
Shain Vernier • 2 min read

It has been an active week for the U.S. dollar as forex players price in expectations for the coming month. Today, the Greenback is turning in a mixed performance vs the majors. The big movers and shakers are the EUR/USD (-0.17%), GBP/USD (+0.12%), and the USD/JPY (+0.25%). For the GBP/USD, bidders have stepped in and extended Tuesday’s gains.

On the news front, two key stories progressed during the U.S. overnight session. Here’s a quick look at each:

  • COVID-19 Vaccines: In a statement yesterday, POTUS Joe Biden announced a blockbuster deal between Merck and Johnson & Johnson to boost COVID-19 vaccine production. Now, Biden projects that every U.S. citizen will have access to the vaccine by the end of May.
  • Stimulus: Over the past 24 hours, it appears as though the new $1.9 trillion COVID-19 stimulus plan will gain Senatorial approval. Senate majority leader Chuck Schumer stated that the Senate will take up the COVID-19 relief package “as early as tonight.”

All in all, these two issues have brought some clarity to the markets. More stimulus looks to be fast-tracked, as is vaccine distribution. Although both of these issues are expected, they will still contribute to positive sentiment when actually executed.

For the USD, the news has brought two-way participation, with the GBP/USD driving higher.

The Bullish Trend In The GBP/USD Is Alive And Well

Last week brought frantic action to the GBP/USD as values spiked to 1.4236 before pulling back. Since that time, the bears have ruled the roost, driving rates below the 1.4000 handle.

GBP/USD, Weekly Chart
GBP/USD, Weekly Chart

Here are two levels to keep an eye on for the near future:

  • Resistance(1): Spike High, 1.4236
  • Support(1): 62% Current Wave, 1.3822

Bottom Line: Currently, the long-term bullish trend in the GBP/USD is intact. If we see this pair retrace, a long trade may set up nicely. Until elected, I’ll have buy orders in the queue from 1.3827. With an initial stop loss at 1.3794, this trade produces 33 pips on a standard 1:1 risk vs reward ratio.

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