Argentinian Equities Crash after Key Presidential Bill Failure
Argentinian Equities Crash after Presidential Bill Failure
On Tuesday night, the Argentine Congress rejected the most significant bill presented so far by Javier Milei, the country’s president. The objective of the bill was to overhaul the country’s legal foundations.
It contained over 600 articles, of which 400 were subsequently eliminated after several negotiations. 200 remained, but the lower chamber decided to discard them altogether. To be precise, in order to avoid total defeat, La Libertad Avanza, the president’s party, decided to withdraw the bill while it was still under discussion.
The lack of political support became evident quickly. La Libertad Avanza only has 37 deputies out of 256 in the lower chamber, and 7 senators out of 72. Despite the president’s allies having gathered a majority to discuss the reform, the reality is that many of them were unsatisfied with the final wording.
“From minute zero, the ruling party behaved as if it had a broad majority in both chambers. This was compounded by a level of parliamentary inexperience that no one with gray hair in Congress remembers,” said one of the Legislators.
Just yesterday, the president of the ruling legislative bloc, Oscar Zago, was confident that with the return of the project to internal committees, the general vote on the law was still on the table. He was unaware that this move would reset everything. The Minister of the Interior, Guillermo Francos, was also unaware. As a result, the bill is lost and won’t be presented again, according to Libertad Avanza sources.
Today, the markets reacted with declines of up to 7% in the banking sector, led by Grupo Financiero Galicia, Banco Supervielle, and Banco Macro, among others. The general decline in the index is nearly 5%, indicating that over the last 3 sessions, the MERVAL index, the country’s most important, dropped by 9%.
However, it’s important to note that until January, the Argentine market thrived as one of the best-performing in recent months.
Stocks and bond prices had incredible performances from November to January under President Milei’s promised reforms, driven by anticipated sweeping changes and apparent popular backing. ETFs like Global X MSCI Argentina (ARGT) increased by 40%, while individual stocks like YPF, GGAL, and CEPU surged by 90%, 110%, and 77% respectively, among others.
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