Argentina: Inflation just hit more than 250% YoY

Argentina: Inflation just hit more than 250% YoY

Argentina is currently grappling with soaring inflation rates, which have surged to over 250% year-over-year.

More than 250%, the highest in the world.

In January, inflation reached 20.6%, accumulating to 254.2% over the last 12 months, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) on Thursday. This monthly figure was 4.9 percentage points lower than the peak recorded in December.

The monthly inflation rate ended just below the market projection, which estimated it would stand at 21.9%, according to the Market Expectations Survey (REM) published by the Central Bank of the Argentine Republic (BCRA).

The highest increases were seen in food, transportation, and healthcare, all essential and irreplaceable expenses. All of them are close to around 50%, and the situation is more complex when compared to the suspension of retirements as well as social programs and the minimum wage.

In a statement, the Ministry of Economy asserted that “the January figure still carries a high statistical carryover from December,” which it attributes to the “inherited monetary overhang” and the “realignment of relative prices,” which occurred with the 54% devaluation of the peso during the first week of Milei’s administration.

However, the document emphasizes that “the pass-through to prices from the December devaluation was much lower than that of the exchange rate jump in August of last year.”

At the category level, Regulated goods (26.6%) led the increase followed by Core CPI (20.2%), while Seasonal recorded an increase of 16.2%, 4.4 percentage points below the average. The division with the highest incidence in all regions was Food and non-alcoholic beverages (20.4%). Within the division, increases in Meats and derivatives and Bread and cereals stand out.

In light of more positive forecasts regarding inflation, the Ministry of Economy’s statement mentions that “the economic program being carried out aims to sustain and deepen this disinflationary scenario.” In this regard, it explains: “The combination of fiscal, monetary, and exchange rate anchors, along with normalization in foreign trade, ensures a declining inflationary trajectory.”

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Gabriel Micillo
Gabriel is a certified public accountant graduated from UNNE (National University of the Northeast, Argentina) and a software developer, currently pursuing a Master's degree in Finance and Economics. With nearly 8 years of experience working for accounting firms and brokerage firms. Concurrently, he has produced economic and financial reports on the current state of regional economies for the clients of the establishments where he has worked. Additionally, he assisted colleagues like Ignacio Teson in the drafting and editing of articles on similar topics in English language.
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