Colombia is on the edge of recession, with growth falling below expectations

Colombia is on the edge of a recession, with growth falling below expectations

The colombian market reacted to the news with an unexpected uptick of 1% as interest rates in colombia may fall faster than expected.

On Thursday, February 15th, the National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE) revealed the economic growth of Colombia during 2023.

In the third quarter, the country had teetered on the brink of recession as the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracted by 0.3% compared to the same period in 2022.

This time, the agency revealed that the Colombian economy grew by 0.6% in 2023, but the figure was lower than the 7.6% growth seen in 2022, demonstrating the impact of last year’s economic recession.

Economic growth fell below experts’ expectations, which ranged from 0.9% to 1.4%. The slowdown in the economy during 2023 is attributed to the high interest rates decreed by the Central Bank of Colombia.

The construction sector experienced the biggest decline, showing a setback of 4.2%. Meanwhile, manufacturing industries also experienced a decline of 3.5%, along with trade and vehicle repair, which fell by 2.8%.

Among the activities that grew, financial and insurance activities expanded by 7.9%, while artistic and entertainment activities grew by 7%. Also posting positive figures were public administration and defense, with a growth of 3.9%, electricity, gas, and water supply, with a positive variation of 2.1%, and agriculture, which grew by 1.8%.

Former Finance Minister José Manuel Restrepo expressed his concern about the stagnation of the economy and urged the activation of an economic recovery plan in collaboration with the private sector.

The annual GDP result is the lowest recorded in a decade, with the notable exception of 2020, the most critical moment of the pandemic, which induced a profound social and economic crisis in Colombia, as well as in the rest of the world.

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Gabriel Micillo
Gabriel is a certified public accountant graduated from UNNE (National University of the Northeast, Argentina) and a software developer, currently pursuing a Master's degree in Finance and Economics. With nearly 8 years of experience working for accounting firms and brokerage firms. Concurrently, he has produced economic and financial reports on the current state of regional economies for the clients of the establishments where he has worked. Additionally, he assisted colleagues like Ignacio Teson in the drafting and editing of articles on similar topics in English language.
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