The Chilean peso appreciates for the third consecutive session on Thursday.

The dollar dropped more than $14 on Thursday following economic figures in Chile and the United States.

The dollar fell sharply on Thursday, more than 1%. This drop marks its third consecutive session of declines, following the release of figures showing an advance in Chile’s trade and industrial production sector indicators in January. This was later supplemented by data from the United States on the inflation indicator preferred by the Federal Reserve.

If we consider the data from the last seven days, the US dollar has recorded a decline of 1.29%; however, over the past year, it still maintains an increase of 20.51%.

On Thursday morning, the National Institute of Statistics (INE) reported that after 20 months in the red, the Commerce Activity Index (IAC) returned to growth with an annual variation of 2.9% in January, while the Industrial Production Index grew by 3.6% annually in the first month of the year, its best result since August 2021 (4.2%).

Shortly after, in the United States, it was reported that the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy, increased by 0.4% since December and 2.8% from a year ago. The PCE, meanwhile, rose by 0.3% last month, with PCE inflation advancing by 2.4%. This marks the lowest year-on-year increase since February 2021, following December’s 2.6%.

Following the release of the data, futures traders, which settle at the official Federal Reserve interest rate, increased bets that the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates in June. There is now a 65% probability of a rate cut in that month, up from 60% before the data was released this morning.

External data, along with sectoral figures, are contributing to the appreciation of the peso against the dollar and could lead it to seek the next level at 964. This would be very beneficial for the Central Bank’s intentions to reduce the interest rate by at least 100 basis points, without the concern of the dollar rising to $1,000.

 

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Gabriel Micillo
Gabriel is a certified public accountant graduated from UNNE (National University of the Northeast, Argentina) and a software developer, currently pursuing a Master's degree in Finance and Economics. With nearly 8 years of experience working for accounting firms and brokerage firms. Concurrently, he has produced economic and financial reports on the current state of regional economies for the clients of the establishments where he has worked. Additionally, he assisted colleagues like Ignacio Teson in the drafting and editing of articles on similar topics in English language.
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