S&P 500 Futures Eye All-Time Highs After Key Resistance Breach on Trade Breakthrough

As stocks soared on new trade confidence and receding Fed worries, the S&P 500 smashed important barrier levels.

S&P 500 has shifted to buy now

Quick overview

  • Equities surged as the S&P 500 broke key resistance levels, closing up 3.3% and nearing February highs.
  • A temporary 90-day suspension of most tariffs on Chinese goods by the Trump administration boosted market sentiment.
  • The rally extended to other indices like the Dow Jones and Nasdaq, while commodity prices, particularly crude oil, also rose.
  • The S&P 500's breakout above the 50-week and 50-day moving averages signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend.

Live SP500 Chart

S&P500
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As stocks soared on new trade confidence and receding Fed worries, the S&P 500 smashed important barrier levels.

Wall Street Opens Strong on Trade Breakthrough

U.S. stock markets kicked off the new week on a high note, reversing last week’s choppy price action driven by conflicting signals on trade policy and monetary direction. The S&P 500 gapped up at the open to 5,739.80 points and extended its gains throughout the session, closing with a robust 3.3% daily jump. This surge brought the index within 6% of its February highs—less than 300 points shy—signaling renewed investor confidence.

This sharp rally follows a recent plunge of over 20% in the S&P last month, triggered by fears of prolonged trade disputes and tightening Federal Reserve policy. However, sentiment turned quickly as diplomatic progress materialized.

Tariff Relief Spurs Risk Appetite

Over the weekend, the Trump administration announced a temporary 90-day suspension of most tariffs on Chinese goods. Under the new agreement, tariffs on U.S. imports from China were reduced to 30%, while exports to China now face only a 10% rate. The move sparked a risk-on reaction across financial markets, buoying not only stocks but also cryptocurrencies, which are particularly sensitive to shifts in global risk sentiment.

In addition to the S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite also saw notable gains. Commodity markets responded positively as well: crude oil prices climbed on expectations that reduced trade barriers would stimulate global economic activity—and with it, energy demand.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar advanced against safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc, euro, and yen, as investors reallocated capital toward higher-yielding assets.

S&P 500 Chart Weekly – Opening Above the 50 SMAChart US500, W1, 2025.05.12 21:15 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

From a technical perspective, the S&P500 has now re-entered its broader upward trend. After falling steeply from its February highs, the index consolidated through April and struggled to break above resistance at the 50-week simple moving average (SMA), a key technical ceiling. That moving average capped price gains last week, causing a temporary pause in the recovery.

Today’s breakout above the 50-week and 50-day SMAs adds credibility to the bullish outlook. A sustained move above this zone could confirm the next leg higher, potentially aiming for a full retracement of the February drawdown.

S&P 500 Index Live Chart

S&P500
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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