Dow Jones Support Holds, Rebound Forms Pattern for New High

After its largest weekly drop in months, the Dow Jones DJIA index recovers well from significant technical support.

Market Resilience: Dow Reverses Half of Last Week’s Decline

Quick overview

  • The Dow Jones experienced its steepest decline in months due to weak labor data and political tensions, dropping nearly 3% last week.
  • A crucial rebound occurred as the index jumped over 550 points on Monday, recovering more than half of its previous losses.
  • The 50-day simple moving average provided essential support, indicating potential for further gains if bullish momentum continues.
  • Despite ongoing macro risks, the market sentiment appears resilient, with traders hopeful for a sustained uptrend.

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After its largest weekly drop in months, the Dow Jones DJIA index recovers well from significant technical support.

From Sharp Decline to Swift Recovery

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) ended last week with its steepest decline in months, as weak labor data, new tariffs, and heightened political tension rattled investor confidence. The index slid nearly 3% for the week, breaking below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which had been a key support level throughout its recent rally.

Dow Jones Chart Daily – The 50 SMA Held

However, the 50-day SMA provided a crucial safety net, halting the decline and setting the stage for a sharp rebound. On Monday, the Dow jumped more than 550 points, climbing back above the 44,000 level and reversing over half of last week’s losses. Traders welcomed the move as a technical bounce, signaling that buyers remain active even after a week dominated by risk aversion.

Labor Data and Market Sentiment

The prior week’s selloff stemmed largely from weaker-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which revealed that July job additions fell far short of expectations. Downward revisions over the previous two months erased most of the earlier reported gains, raising concerns about the true health of the labor market.

Markets also digested political headlines and new tariff measures, which added to the sense of uncertainty. The combination of softer employment figures and macro headwinds triggered widespread selling that briefly pushed the Dow down to 43,330, nearly 4% below recent highs.

US Major Indices Close Sharply Higher

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)

  • Gained +585.06 points (+1.34%)
  • Closed at 44,173.64

S&P 500 Index

  • Added +91.93 points (+1.47%)
  • Ended the session at 6,329.94

NASDAQ Composite

  • Jumped +403.45 points (+1.95%)
  • Finished at 21,053.58

Russell 2000

  • Climbed +45.52 points (+2.10%)
  • Closed at 2,212.30

Technical Setup Signals Optimism

Despite the turbulence, Monday’s rally indicates that the Dow is holding above its 50-day SMA, a historically reliable support level. The stochastic momentum indicator has also turned higher from oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a renewed push toward the all-time high of 45,130 if bullish momentum continues.

While macro risks remain, this rebound reflects resilient market sentiment, and traders are watching closely to see if the bounce can evolve into a sustained uptrend.

 

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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