Intel Stock Fails at Resistance Again – Break Above $28 Needed for INTC

Intel’s share price remains volatile, reflecting both sector-wide weakness and heightened investor uncertainty. While policy support and...

Intel Faces Pressure as Resistance Holds, Policy Support in Focus

Quick overview

  • Intel's share price is volatile due to sector-wide weakness and investor uncertainty, with recent trading near $28 hinting at a potential breakout.
  • The stock slipped nearly 1% this week, hitting lows of $24 after failing to break through the 200-day moving average near the $26 resistance zone.
  • Government involvement through the Chips and Science Act and SoftBank's $2 billion investment have raised optimism about Intel's long-term strategy despite current challenges.
  • For a bullish reversal, Intel needs to decisively surpass the $26.50–$27.50 resistance zone, while its foundry division shows promise for future growth.

Intel’s share price remains volatile, reflecting both sector-wide weakness and heightened investor uncertainty. While policy support and private investments fuel optimism, technical barriers continue to hold the stock back.

Market Performance and Technical Setup

Intel has been trading near the upper end of its recent range, hinting at the possibility of a breakout above $28. However, this week the stock slipped nearly 1%, hitting lows of $24 after a rejection at the 200-day moving average just below the $26 resistance zone. This reversal turned Intel bearish for the week, erasing short-term gains and reinforcing doubts about the sustainability of recent bullish momentum.

Intel Chart Daily – Failed at the 20 SMAChart INTC, D1, 2025.08.26 16:16 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

Sector Weakness and Resistance Challenges

The broader technology sector has struggled since mid-August, with semiconductors underperforming the most. Intel briefly reclaimed levels last seen in February but was unable to hold them. Sellers regained control at critical resistance, casting further uncertainty over whether the stock can push higher in the near term.

Policy Support and Investment Confidence

The U.S. government’s consideration of converting a portion of the $10.9 billion Chips and Science Act funding into equity raises new questions for Intel. A potential 10% federal stake, valued at roughly $10.5 billion, would mark an unprecedented level of government involvement in chip manufacturing.

INTC Chart Monthly – Still Range BoundChart INTC, MN1, 2025.08.26 16:16 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

At the same time, SoftBank’s $2 billion share purchase at $23 per share briefly boosted confidence, signaling belief in Intel’s long-term semiconductor strategy, particularly in advanced chip design. This contributed to a 23% weekly gain—the strongest since spring—though resistance quickly capped further upside.

Outlook: Caution vs. Optimism

Intel’s path forward highlights the tension between short-term technical headwinds and long-term strategic backing. To sustain a bullish reversal, buyers must push the stock decisively above the $26.50–$27.50 resistance zone. While skepticism persists regarding its core product business, Intel’s foundry division continues to build a stronger strategic position that could underpin future growth.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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