A Gap In The WTI Crude Oil – How To Trade?


Yesterday, we saw some heavy losses in the WTI crude oil. This was due to the EIA crude oil inventory data which recorded a drop in inventory of 1.0 million barrels over the previous week. The drop in inventory was lower than the expected figure of 1.2 million/ barrels.

You must be wondering why crude oil prices dived more than 200 pips, while the fall in inventories indicates an increase in the demand for Crude Oil which ultimately should lead to a price increase.

 

Priced In – Crude Oil

The investors increased their bets on crude oil due to expected inventory figures which suggesed a draw of 1.2 million barrels. The actual draw was 1.0 million barrels making the actual figure lower than the expectation. That's why we have seen sudden selling en masse.

Crude Oil - Hourly ChartCrude Oil – Hourly Chart

 

How To Trade The Gap?

This morning, the crude oil opened with a huge gap of around 36 pip. Yesterday it closed at $50.62 but today it opened at $50.98. The gaps caused by volatility are meant to be filled in the same day or in upcoming days.

Technically, the black gold has completed 50% retracement in the $51.32 and also holds below 50 periods EMA resistance along with the RSI. Hence, the indicators are suggesting a sell signal making it time to call for a selling entry.

Forex Trading Signal

Investors are recommended to take up a sell position below $51.30 with a stop loss above 51.45 whereas the take profit should be placed at $50.60.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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