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A Trade Idea On The WTI Crude Oil – Inventories Are Out!

For the last two days, the black gold has stuck in the tight trading range of 100 pips, with an upper range of $50.10 and a lower range of $49. Yesterday, I was supposed to share a trading signal on crude oil, but the market became highly volatile upon the release of EIA inventories figures.

Pursuant to the EIA report, crude oil inventories fell by 3.64 million barrels in the previous week. The draw was certainly higher than the previous figure of 1.04 million barrels. We were expecting a draw of around 1.3 million barrels. As a consequence, we encountered a huge buying trend in the crude oil and it placed an intraday high of $50.17.

Later over the next hour, investors must have realized that the overall inventories of crude oil still stand at 528.7 million barrels, which is 3.8% higher than the previous year's inventories.

Crude Oil - 4 Hours Chart

WTI Crude Oil – 4 Hours Chart


Technical Outlook

As I wrote in my report,  WTI Crude Oil Traders On Hold – Inventories Ahead, the crude oil traded exactly on the quoted levels. As I said in my previous analysis, the crude oil has not only completed 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $49.65 but is also consolidating below it. The oil can find another support at $49.20, but the breakage will lead towards $48.90.

The crude oil just dropped below $49.65 and remained supported near $49.20. Now, the oil prices can move towards the double bottom level of $48.90. The RSI and 50 periods moving averages are also in support of selling bias.  


Forex Trading Signal

In the Asian session, I placed a sell order below $49.28, with a target of $49.02 and a stop loss of $49.45. Good Luck!

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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