Sellers Dominated Crude Oil Ready For Retracement

Posted Thursday, May 4, 2017 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

In the early Asian sessions, our fresh forex trading signal on WTI crude oil closed at our target prices, giving us early morning profits. There were two major reasons behind this call:

First, the downtrend in the crude oil was fundamentally supported. In my previous update, May 3rd Daily Highlights, I discussed the inventory releases. Yesterday, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) released inventory figures showing a draw of 0.93 million barrels. The draw was less than the expected 2.2 million.

As we know, a drop in inventories represents less demand for the crude oil over the previous week. As a consequence, investors started selling the crude oil because of increased supply.

Forex Trading Signal

At the 2nd trading signal, I recommend opening a buying position above $47.30 with a stop loss below $46.95 and a take profit of $47.62.

 

Crude Oil - 4 Hour ChartCrude Oil – 4 Hour Chart

 

Technical Outlook – Intraday

The second reason was that on the 4-hour chart, there is a bearish triangle pattern which is extending a strong support at $47.30. In addition, the same $47 – $47.30 is a major support area which gives investors a buying signal. The leading indicator is holding in the oversold area. This demonstrates that buyers are looming around the area. Crude oil is very likely to retrace to $47.70 and $48 before showing the further bearish trend.

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About the author

Arslan Butt is our Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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