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WTI Crude Oil Completes 61.8% Retracement – What’s Next?

Over the previous week, the WTI Crude Oil prices fell dramatically following the OPEC decision to extend production cuts. The crude oil was supposed to skyrocket upon the announcement, but the impact went in exactly the opposite direction.

The bearish momentum in the oil was triggered because the announcement failed to surprise investors. The outcome was as expected and investors responded with aggressive selling for more than 350 pips. The WTI Crude Oil found a support on Friday and recovered nearly 45% of the losses.

Forex Trading Signal

At this point, we have 2 options for today:

First- Buying above $49.60 with a stop loss below $49.50 and a take profit of $50 (psychological level).

Second – Selling below $49.45 with a stop loss above 49.70 and a take profit of $49.10.

Crude Oil - Hourly ChartCrude Oil – Hourly Chart


Technical Outlook- Intraday

During the early European session, we shared a buying call above $49.75 as the pair broke above the 50 periods EMA and the leading indicator crossed above 50. The trade was floating in profit, but now it's again floating in the loss.

Both of the technical tools recommended a bullish bias for the pair. Now, let's see, how the oil responseds to the technical analysis.

On the 4 – hour chart, we can see that the scenario is opposite. The oil has completed 61.8% Fibonacci retracement which is keeping the oil prices below $50.025.

Since the global markets are closed in observance of Memorial Day. Thereby, we may experience a thin trading volume.

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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