July 31st – Weekly & Daily Outlook For Gold


Over the previous week, the precious metal gold has soared to place a multi-week high at $1271 due to the weaker dollar and ongoing tensions between North Korea & the United States. Since the gold is considered a safe haven asset, investors count on it to protect themselves against the uncertainty.

This week, the gold trend is heavily dependent on the top tier economic figures from the United States – the US NFP & unemployment rate. Before the releases, the yellow metal is likely to trade technicals, so let's take a look.

 

Weekly Outlook – Gold

On the weekly chart, the gold has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern which is extending a resistance at $1279. Let me highlight, the gold is very close to the upper edge of the triangle pattern. This can either give it an upward breakout toward $1296 or push it deeper towards $1228. This all depends on the US fundamentals later this week.

Gold - Weekly Chart - Symmetric Triangle Pattern

Gold – Weekly Chart – Symmetric Triangle Pattern 

Intraday Outlook – Gold

Zooming out to the 4-hour chart, the gold has formed a bullish channel which is providing a resistance at $1271. The resistance is reinforced by a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern followed by a Doji, which is formed right below $1271. Bearish engulfing is a reversal pattern that signifies traders' selling bias. You can refer to the FX Leaders candlesticks trading strategy article to further your understanding of candlestick trading.

Gold - 4 Hours Chart - Bearish Engulfing & Horizontal ResistanceGold – 4-Hour Chart – Bearish Engulfing & Horizontal Resistance

 

Gold Trading Plan

Today, the idea is to stay bullish above $1262 with the intent to target $1272. On the other hand, we can stay in sell below $1271 with a stop above $1274 to target $1264. We also need to monitor the Pending Home Sales and Chicago PMI later today to determine further trends in the gold.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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