Trade The Range In WTI Crude Oil – EIA Report - Forex News by FX Leaders

Trade The Range In WTI Crude Oil – EIA Report

Posted Thursday, August 10, 2017 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

Despite the dramatic draws in crude oil stockpiles, the WTI failed to come out of the consolidation pattern $48.75 – $49.85. This is due to two factors.

EIA Inventories Are Out

Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported an inventory draw of 6.45 million barrels for the previous week followed by a draw of 1.5 million barrels. The drop was very surprising and still, the crude oil failed to place new highs. The oil is trading with a bullish bias and seems to be waiting for the technical breakouts.

Technical Outlook

Oil has formed a sideways pattern on the 4-Hour time frame, which now seems to give us an upward breakout at $49.90. In this case, oil would make an upward move until $50.35 & 50.75 on breakage of $49.90.

Crude Oil - 2 Hours Chart - Bearish TrendlineCrude Oil – 2-Hour Chart – Bearish Trendline

In addition to this, the Crude Oil is trading above the 50- periods EMA with a support at $49.20. Stochastic is trading at 85, keeping an upward momentum, but it's already in the overbought region. This makes it too risky for us to buy here.

Crude Oil Trading Plan

I'm eyeing $50.30 for a sell position with a stop loss above $50.50 and take profit at $49.50. Let's see how it responds to the US economic events during the New York session today.

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About the author

Arslan Butt // Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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