Morning Preview: North Korea… Here We Go Again!

Good morning traders

Well, it’s starting to feel a bit like the boy who cried wolf. North Korea is at it again, this time testing a hydrogen bomb, which in the short term sent shudders through FX markets. The safe-havens rallied initially, but are slowly closing the gap in early Monday trade.

On Friday, the USD inched higher against the backdrop of a weaker than expected jobs report. To me, that’s a classic case of strength in the face of negative news and it’s telling me that the USD is strong.

With that in mind, I am still bullish on the USD. Given its performance on Friday, I feel that there is buying interest there and I will be trading with that in mind. That said we have Labor Day in the US and Canada reducing trading volume, so we might not get the ball rolling until Tuesday.

Yen Strength

The latest saga from North Korea has added some strength to the Yen. However, long term I still think the USD will rally. This would set us up in a tricky spot for trading on Monday, with two competing forces.

For today I’m quietly targeting a drift higher to the 110.50 level. That, of course, is assuming there are no more headlines coming after the North Korean saga.

Technically I feel that we want to drift higher in line with USD strength, which has probably already been forgotten about given the weekend's excitement.

Key Levels

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Rowan Crosby

Asia-Pacific Analyst

Rowan Crosby is a professional futures trader from Sydney, Australia. Rowan has extensive experience trading commodities, bonds and equity futures in the Asian, European and US markets. Rowan holds a Bachelor of Finance and Economics degree and is focused heavily on Investment Finance and Quantitative Analysis.

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