November 8, 2017- Potential Short Trade For The S&P 500

Posted Wednesday, November 8, 2017 by
Shain Vernier • 1 min read

Over the course of 2017, U.S. equities have experienced one of the greatest bull runs in recent market history. With the S&P 500 and DJIA seemingly posting new all-time highs on a weekly basis, shorting has not been the best strategy. However, as the new year draws near, it will be interesting to see whether or not investors take profits or let winning positions ride.

In Tuesday’s S&P 500 brief, I outlined a possible scenario to play a retracement on the E-mini S&P 500. The setup came to fruition, so let’s outline the trade parameters.


December E-mini S&P 500 Technicals

Yesterday’s session produced the red candle that I was looking for on the daily time frame.

ES DailyDecember E-mini S&P 500, Daily Chart

Currently, we are seeing the S&P 500 push higher after an initial auction beneath Tuesday’s low. All of the technicals are relatively unchanged, so let’s set up the trade:

  • Shorts from the 62% Fibonacci retracement of Tuesday’s range (2588.75) are ideal levels.

  • Initial stop above Tuesday’s high at 2593.75 is a concrete out.

  • Implementing a 1:1 R/R, this trade produces a 20 tick profit. A 2:1 R/R is acceptable in this situation as well, generating 40 ticks.

The economic calendar is relatively open for today, so I expect a true representation of price action. A regression back to Tuesday’s low (1280.75) is probable as we move deeper into the U.S. session.

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