Gold Drifts from the Top as Risk-off Sentiment Wanes

Posted Friday, April 20, 2018 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

On Thursday, the gold plunged sharply below $1,355 after the release of better than expected Philly Fed manufacturing index. The index soared to 23.2 vs. 20.8 forecast, which is a pretty nice gain. Secondly, the demand for haven assets diminished as global political tensions eased. We haven’t heard any remarks from the USA, China, Russia or Syria, which is actually supporting the greenback.

In the absence of U.S. economic events, the market is more likely to focus on technical indicators. Having said this, I just spotted a really cool setup to trade today. Take a look…

GOLD – XAU/USD – Upward Channel Breakout

On the 4-hour chart, we can see that gold has come out of its upward channel. This bullish channel provided a solid support near $1,346, but the bears have taken it out in the meantime.

Gold - 4 Hour Chart - Technical Setup

Gold – 4 Hour Chart – Technical Setup

At the moment, gold is trading below a support zone which seems to have become a resistance level (at $1,346) and it’s likely to find another support near $1,340. The leading indicators, RSI and stochastics, are massively oversold. It means, sooner or later, the sellers may get exhausted and we may see bulls entering the market.

Gold – XAU/USD – Trading Plan

Fellows, the idea is to keep a closer eye on $1,341 as gold can stay bullish above this level. Whereas, it can target $1,336 on a violation of $1,341. Good luck!

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About the author

Arslan Butt is our Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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