EUR/USD

EUR/USD Extends Losses Beneath 1.2000

Posted Wednesday, May 2, 2018 by
Shain Vernier • 1 min read

Dating back to January of 2017, the bulls have been in control of the EUR/USD. Buyers have taken the exchange rate from near par to upwards of 1.2550. The concerted rally has benefitted long-term bulls greatly over the last 16 months.

However, the recent pressure on the EUR/USD has many currency experts calling for a corrective cycle. The sell-off of the last two weeks promotes this sentiment. But are we really headed for a major revaluation of both the Euro and USD? The price action surrounding today’s FED meeting may give us a few clues.

EUR/USD Technicals

For the first time since early January, the EUR/USD has penetrated the 1.2000 handle. While this occurrence is not overly significant, it does illustrate the current lack of bullish sentiment in the market.

EUR/USD
EUR/USD, Daily Chart

No surprises are expected for today’s 2:00 PM EST FED Interest Rate Announcements. If the FOMC decides to throw us a curveball, here are a few downside support levels to watch closely:

  • Support(1): 2018 Low, 1.1916
  • Support(2): 38% Retracement of Jan. 2017/Feb. 2018 Bull Run, 1.1708 (not pictured)

Overview: Last night’s release of the Eurozone GDP did little to boost the Euro against the Greenback. The number came in on schedule at 2.5% (YoY) but was still down from the previous release of 2.7%. If nothing else, the number was not viewed as being overly positive by the market.

After the compressed trading range of March and most of April, the EUR/USD is on the move. If verbiage from today’s FED release alludes to robust U.S. economic performance and a policy of gradual tightening, the bearish trend will continue.

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About the author

Shain Vernier is our US Analyst
Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.
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