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WTI Crude Oil Breaks Out Above $68.00, Key Levels

The buyback is on in WTI crude oil. Price has broken out to the bull for July WTI futures under heavy traded volume. With the weekly crude oil inventory cycle slated to start this afternoon, traders are buying everything in sight. At press time, July WTI crude is trading near the $68.25 handle.

Remember, the weekly API and EIA reports are scheduled to come in one day later than usual due to the holiday weekend. This afternoon marks the API release, with the EIA report hitting the wires Thursday.

WTI Crude Oil Technicals

The U.S. traditional pit open has brought an abundance of buyers to this market. Since 9:00 AM EST, crude has rallied almost $1.25. Today’s gains have price approaching a key Fibonacci level outlined in a Tuesday update.

July WTI Crude Oil Futures (CL), Daily Chart

Intraday time frames are showing an upward trend. Participation has spiked above Tuesday’s high ($67.35) and the $67.50 handle. Here are the levels to watch for the remainder of the trading day:

  • Resistance(1): 38% Retracement of Current Wave, $68.51
  • Resistance(2): Bollinger MP, $69.15
  • Resistance(3): Daily SMA $70.17

Bottom Line: In a trading plan from yesterday, I broke down a sell from Fibonacci resistance. This plan is still valid. In the event that crude pushes higher, short scalps from each resistance level are acceptable. In this case, a profit target of 8-12 ticks is optimal, using a 1:1 risk vs reward management plan.

A strong intraday trend is present — if selling, be sure to have your stops down and leverage in check.

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Shain Vernier
US Analyst
Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.
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