What’s in Store for the EUR/USD - Forex News by FX Leaders
EUR/USD Outlook

What’s in Store for the EUR/USD

Posted Monday, July 16, 2018 by
Rowan Crosby • 1 min read

The EUR/USD is still on a larger downtrend and even though the USD is struggling to break resistance, I feel it might be more of the same ahead.

It’s a quiet week on the economic data front. The main event of focus is Eurozone CPI, where we a looking at a yearly figure of 2%. This is actually a pleasing number as anything above 2% will be seen as a big win. Considering the weak inflation that we’ve seen out of Europe for more than five years.

The bulk of the attention will be on the US data, lead predominantly by retail sales. Last month we saw a huge beat in retail sales data which crashed the EUR/USD.

Along with that, there are some other major numbers including the Philly Fed Manufacturing and building permits.

However, a fair bit of attention will fall on US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell as he testifies in front of Congress. As I’ve said before, I don’t see much coming from the appearance as he is still new to the job. And the Fed has been very transparent in how they are communicating their monetary policy going forward. It also helps when the economic data points are flying.

Technical Outlook

The EUR/USD is now holding below 1.1700 and it appears that the levels are looking important. I feel that we are also shaping up with a descending triangle that might make it tough to rally.

Key Levels

Support – 1.1637, 1.1600

Resistance – 1.1700, 1.1792, 1.1800

The resurgent USD has been a real catalyst here clearly. And if the Greenback can shrug off the tariff saga then I expect a tough time ahead for the EUR/USD.

If we can’t reclaim 1.1700 then the bears will likely be in control going forward.

EUR/USD
EUR/USD – 240 min.
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About the author

Rowan Crosby // Asia-Pacific Analyst
Rowan Crosby is a professional futures trader from Sydney, Australia. Rowan has extensive experience trading commodities, bonds and equity futures in the Asian, European and US markets. Rowan holds a Bachelor of Finance and Economics degree and is focused heavily on Investment Finance and Quantitative Analysis.
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