The downtrend remains strong in EUR/USD

Moving Averages Keep Pushing EUR/USD Down

Posted Tuesday, October 30, 2018 by
Skerdian Meta • 1 min read

EUR/USD has turned bearish since the end of September. We saw a pullback higher by the middle of this month, but the downtrend resumed again and the sellers resumed control. They have been in total control since then, but the 1.13 support level remains.

This level has provided resistance during 2016 and it has now turned into support. This was the low back in August this year and that’s the level for the buyers to break in the near term. The buyers have the technicals on their side by the way.

Looking at the H1 chart above, we see that the 100 SMA (green) is helping the sellers push the price down. It provided resistance for EUR/USD during the first leg of this downtrend in September and it is providing resistance again now that the downtrend has resumed again.

On the H4 chart, we have the 20 SMA doing the pushing lower

If we switch to the H4 chart, we see that here it is the 20 SMA (grey) which is providing resistance. It is pushing this forex pair down. There have been a few piercings above the 100 SMA but the price has returned below it without being able to close an H4 candlestick above.

So, EUR/USD is being pushed lower by moving averages on the H1 and H4 charts. Now the price is close to these moving averages again, but it is also close to the 1.13 level and looks like we are heading down there. But, don’t rule out a push higher again above the moving averages before the next leg of the downtrend resumes.

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About the author

Skerdian Meta is our Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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