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Crude Oil Inventories Are In, WTI Consolidates

It has been an active post-election trading day on the markets. The U.S. indices are roaring, with the DJIA up more than 350 points. Commodities have seen heavy volatility, with WTI futures and December gold fighting to relative stalemates. If nothing else, investors are showing little regard for the newly split U.S. government.

Crude Oil Inventories Are In…

Getting lost in this week’s election hype and booming equities markets was the weekly oil inventories cycle. Here is a look at the hard data:

Event                                     Actual        Previous     Projected

API Crude Oil Stocks              7.83M            5.70M               NA

EIA Crude Oil Stocks             5.78M             3.22M            2.43M

Seasonality is playing a huge role in oil pricing at the current time. Demand is down and stocks are now growing on a weekly basis. This phenomenon is driving December WTI futures south, likely to a hard test of $60.00.

WTI Crude Oil Technicals

Well, there isn’t a whole lot to report for December WTI crude ― the daily trend is down and $61.00 is the next big round number up for scrutiny.

Overview: The U.S. session has been dominated by energy bears, specifically in the 30 minutes following the EIA stocks release. Another solid build in supply brought an immediate $1 selloff in WTI crude amid heavy selling. Until we see the supply/demand fundamentals facing this market shift, look for the daily downtrend to continue.

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Shain Vernier
US Analyst
Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.
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