Inflation cooled off again this month, but that's not a bad thing

Inflation Cools Off Further in UK

Posted Wednesday, December 19, 2018 by
Skerdian Meta • 1 min read

Today is an inflation day for forex traders since we have two major inflation reports being released. The CPI (consumer price index) report from the UK was released a while ago and later in the US session, we have the Canadian CPI report coming out.

Earlier on the German PPI (producer price index) was also released and it grew by 0.1% while expectations were for a 0.1% decline. In Britain, inflation was expected to tick lower in November and it did, but let me just list all the numbers from the inflation report below.

CPI YoY2.3%2.3%2.4%
Core CPI YoY1.8%1.8%1.9%
CPI MoM0.2%0.2%0.1%
PPI Input YoY5.6%4.6%10.3%
PPI Input MoM-2.3%-2.9%-0.8%
PPI Output YoY3.1%2.9%3.3%
PPI Output YoY0.2%-0.1%0.3%
RPI YoY3.2%3.2%3.3%
HPI YoY2.7%3.3%3.0%

As you can see from the table above, which is the best I could put together, most of the important numbers are in line with expectations. What stands out are the HPI YoY (house price index) which cooled off in November. That’s a good thing though since the housing market in Britain has been suffering from high demand and thus the pretty quick rise in house prices, especially in the Southeast, near London.

The PPI (producer price index) input declined by a massive 2.3% which is the first decline since March. Although, that’s smaller than expectation of a 2.9% decline. But these are not the most important inflation figures, so the GBP is little changed from this report.

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