US ISM Manufacturing PMI Disappoints, Sending the USD Lower

The US ISM manufacturing report posted the biggest monthly decline since 2014, which brings it to the lowest level since August 2016.

Manufacturing went through a soft period in December in US

The US ISM manufacturing report was released a while ago and it was pretty disappointing. Headline number was expected to cool off to 57.7 points from 59.3 points previously, but it tumbled lower to 54.1 points. All the sub-components of this report came much lower as well. Let me list all the detail in a table below:

ActualExpectedPrevious
ISM Manufacturing PMI54.157.759.3
Employment56.258.4
Prices paid54.960.7
New orders51.162.1
Backlog of orders50.056.4

As you can see, all the numbers for December are much lower than in November. Backlog of orders fell flat while new orders were almost flat in December since 50 points means that the sector is not growing, below 50, the sector is in contraction.

This is the lowest reading since August 2016 and the biggest monthly decline since 2014. The US Dollar has lost around 40 pips after the release of this report but the uptrend is still not in threat. The inventories build up towards the end of the year, so orders from companies have been lower, as the report shows. This has affected the whole sector, but I think that this will be just a one-off month. Although, we will have to follow the US data closely in the coming weeks.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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