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AUD/USD Forms a Bullish Chart Setup Above the 200 SMA

AUD/USD has turned really bullish in the last 7-8 trading days since it tumbled around 250 pips on January 3rd when the liquidity in the financial markets was really thin. But, the sentiment turned mildly positive in the past two weeks and that was enough for this pair to make a strong bullish turnaround.

AUD/USD broke above all moving averages without much resistance. The price moved above the 200 SMA (purple) on the H4 chart last week and reached as high as 0.7235 on my platform. It retraced lower by the end of last week and during the Asian session today.

Although, the retrace lower seems complete now. The stochastic indicator is almost oversold on the H4 chart time-frame and the 200 SMA seems to have turned into support for this pair. Besides that, the previous H4 candlestick formed a doji which is a reversing signal.

The current candlestick confirms the bullish reversing chart setup. It already looks like a bullish candlestick and such a candlestick after a doji is a stronger signal for the reversal higher. Although, the sentiment is sort of negative today as safe havens find strong demand, that’s why I’m not going long on this pair just yet.

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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