Core inflation ticks lower in the Eurozone

European and UK Data Still Showing Weakness

Posted Friday, March 1, 2019 by
Skerdian Meta • 1 min read

The round of economic data from Britain and from the Eurozone is out and the numbers still show that both economies are in a difficult spot. The manufacturing sector in Britain made another step towards stagnation, although at 52 points it is still a bit far, unlike other sectors of the UK economy which are pretty close to stagnation such as construction. Let’s have a look at all the numbers below:

Economic DataActualExpectedPrevious
UK Manufacturing PMI52.052.052.6
Net Lending to Individuals4.8B4.7B4.6B
Mortgage Approvals67K63K64K
Headline CPI1.5%1.5%1.4%
Core CPI1.0%1.1%1.1%
Unemployment Rate7.9%8.0%8.0%

The headline annualized CPI ticked higher to 1.5% in February from 1.4% previously and the unemployment rate ticked lower in the Eurozone, but core CPI (consumer price index) ticked lower to 1.0% from 1.1% in January. The ECB is still hoping for signs that sustainable inflation pressures will pick up. Well, core CPI reflects sustainable inflation better than anything else and it is still slipping lower.

What do you read in this inflation report from the Eurozone? This report shows that the bullish reversal in Crude Oil prices are having some effect on headline inflation which ticked higher, but core inflation which strips out Oil prices and shows the real inflation is ticking down. That’s a negative sign pointing to further weakness in the coming months.

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