USD/CAD Has a Solid Base to Lean on

[[USD/CAD]] has been trading in a range between 1.31 and 1.33 since early January after it turned bearish at the end of December. Although, about two weeks ago we saw a bullish move higher as the price climbed form 1.31 lows to 1.3460s where it reversed down again last Friday after the US non-farm employment change was disappointing.

The price declined nearly 200 pips since last Friday this pair found support at the 100 SMA (red) on the H4 time-frame. This moving average stood its ground well and we saw a 60 pip bounce yesterday as Crude Oil prices climbed higher on talk from Audi Arabia and Iraq to keep production low.

Today we saw another attempt to break below the 100 SMA but it held its ground again during early European session. The price bounced off it and formed a hammer candlestick which is a bullish reversing signal.

The current candlestick looks bullish already, so a bullish reversing setup is complete on this time-frame and if you are long I suggest you keep your position open until the 50 SMA (yellow) at least.

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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