Crude Oil Set for Biggest One Month Fall – Trade War Continues to Play

Crude oil is consolidating above the intraday support level of 54.90. Below this, crude oil may have chances to go after 53.30.

Arslan Butt•Friday, May 31, 2019•1 min read

What’s up, traders.

It’s been a volatile session for crude oil as WTI crude oil slipped below $59.61 to place a low around $54.90. On Friday, crude oil prices trade bearish after data showed the US crude inventories sank less than estimates from last week.

As per the US Energy Information Administration weekly report, crude oil inventories slumped by just 0.28 million barrels in the week ending on May 24. Its bearish report forecast a stockpile draw of 0.86 million barrels after a build of 4.74 million barrels in the earlier week.

Additionally, crude oil slipped over heightened safe-haven appeal and sentiments that the trade war isn’t likely to end soon.

The world’s topmost oil exporter Saudi Arabia has increased production in May, but not by enough to offset for lower Iranian exports which dropped after the United States imposed sanctions on Tehran.

Technical Outlook
As you can see on the 4-hour chart, crude oil is consolidating above the intraday support level of 54.90. Below this, crude oil may have chances to go after 53.30.

Both of the leading and lagging indicators, the RSI and 200 periods EMA, are suggesting bearish trend in oil. Although 54.85 seems excellent support, it’s risky considering the strong bearish momentum in the oil market. I will be looking to stay bullish above 54.80 only if crude oil manages to hold above 54.85.

Good luck and stay tuned!

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Arslan Butt

Index & Commodity Analyst

Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.