USD/CHF Breaks Daily Downside Support

Posted Friday, July 12, 2019 by
Shain Vernier • 2 min read

The USD/CHF has been one of the more active pairs on today’s forex. Rates have fallen consistently throughout the session, in tandem with other safe-havens. At least for the time being, investors appear to be interested in going home long pretty much anything except USDs. Equities continue to show strength, as is gold, the Japanese yen, and the Swissie.

As we mentioned earlier today, next week features a relatively tame economic calendar in comparison to that of this week. Limited FED engagements will bring a sense of calm to the markets as currency players prepare for the July 31 FED meeting. However, there are still a few early-week economic events to be aware of:

Country                                   Event                                Session

New Zealand                         CPI (Q2)                             Monday

U.K.                                        Average Earnings (May)   Tuesday

Germany                                ZEW Survey (July)             Tuesday

U.S.                                          Retail Sales (June)           Tuesday

U.S.                                          Powell Speech                  Tuesday

If you are going to trade the Greenback, then Tuesday is likely to be a relatively active day on the forex.

The USD/CHF Plunges Below Daily Support

For the first time in July, the USD/CHF has fallen below the Daily SMA and Bollinger MP. Rates are off more than 50 pips amid somewhat heavy selling.

USD/CHF, Daily Chart
USD/CHF, Daily Chart

Here are the levels to watch for the remainder of the session:

  • Resistance(1): Daily SMA, .9855
  • Resistance(2): Bollinger MP, .9873

Overview: Today’s close is going to be an important one for the USD/CHF. Settlement beneath the Daily SMA (.9855) will be a strong bearish signal. If we see this scenario unfold, then the Daily SMA and Bollinger MP will enter next week as resistance, not support as they have been for the previous two weeks.

All in all, it has been an extremely active five days on the markets. Hopefully, you have stocked your trading account with green pips. If not, next Monday is right around the corner, and with it, fresh opportunity,

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