Shorting the Pullback in NZD/USD

NZD/USD tumbled lower last night on the deteriorating ANZ business confidence, but it has retraced higher which looks good for sellers

Buyers are having trouble at the 20 MSA again

Commodity dollars have been on a bearish trend for two weeks now since the period of weakness in the USD ended, especially the Aussie and the Kiwi, because the CAD is holding a bit better, helped by crude oil prices as well. The trend has been pretty strong and NZD/USD has been finding resistance at the smaller moving averages.

The pullbacks have ended at the 20 SMA (grey) and the 50 SMA (yellow) on the H1 chart, or to put it better, the consolidations because pullbacks have been pretty weak. This shows that the trend has been really strong since sellers are not hanging around for the larger period MAs to catch up.

Overnight, another decline took place for this pair after the ANZ business confidence turned even more negative, which shows the deteriorating confidence among investors in New Zealand. But, the price has retraced back up during the European session, although this pair is finding resistance at the 20 SMA again now.

The previous candlestick closed as a morning star which is a reversing signal and the stochastic indicator is almost overbought now. So, we decided to go short on this pullback, although the FED meeting this evening makes things a bit mixed. Traders might hang around until the meeting, but the trade setup looks great for shorts.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

Related Articles

Comments

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
0 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

HFM

Doo Prime

XM

Best Forex Brokers