NZD/USD Should Remain Above MAs if it Wants to Stay Bullish

[[NZD/USD]] has been trading on a bearish trend since April last year but this month we have seen a decent retrace higher, which might be the beginning of a trend reversal. We saw an attempt at reversing higher in September in this pair, as the sentiment improved in financial markets due to the quiet tones from US and China on the trade war, following a really heated summer.

But, the bearish trend resumed again, although October’s pullback seems more convincing. NZD/USD retraced higher in the first week of last month, and after finding resistance at the 20 SMA on the daily chart, the price broke above it. The 50 SMA (yellow) provided resistance as well once, but it was broken after US and China reached the partial trade deal, which improved the sentiment a great deal.

Risk assets such as the NZD benefit when the sentiment is positive and this pair has remained bullish. The 50 SMA (yellow) and the 20 SMA (grey) turned into support last week after the retrace and this pair bounced off of them after forming two doji candlesticks, which are reversing signals.

But, the climb ended at the 100 SMA (green) and this week we have seen this pair retrace lower. So now, the 20 and 50 SMAs will be tested again. If they hold, then the bullish turned will likely continue for this pair. We might open a buy signal here if we see the price forming another reversing candlestick.

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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