Crude Oil Rises Despite Increased Stockpiles – Update on Sell Signal - Forex News by FX Leaders

Crude Oil Rises Despite Increased Stockpiles – Update on Sell Signal

Posted Friday, November 15, 2019 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

WTI crude oil prices are flashing green and rose 0.6% higher even after the unexpected increase in crude inventories. Headlines hinted that OPEC might increase output cuts. The increases came after OPEC said overnight that it expected demand for oil to drop in 2020, which provides a clear case for the group to maintain limits on production.

The Energy Information Administration said US crude output increased by 2.2 million barrels for the week ended November 8, against expectations for a build of 1.65 million barrels, according to forecast.
The inventory numbers were released a day later following due to Monday’s federal holiday for Veterans Day.

OPEC said market demand for its crude would average 29.58 million barrels per day next year, 1.12 million BPD less than in 2019. That points to a 2020 surplus of about 70,000 BPD, which is less than indicated in previous reports.

WTI Crude Oil – Technical Outlook

Crude oil prices violated the triple top resistance level of 57.40, and closing of 4-hour candles above this level was signifying chances of further buying in US Oil. But the surge in crude oil inventories triggered a bearish reversal.

The RSI and Stochastics are stuck in the overbought region and suggesting chances of a bearish trend. On the lower side, crude oil is likely to find support around 56.25 and 56 levels, and here we can expect a bullish reversal while resistance stays at 57 and 57.65, which is extended by double top point.

Daily Support and Resistance
S3 55.01
S2 56.1
S1 56.55
Pivot Point 57.19
R1 57.64
R2 58.28
R3 59.37

WTI Crude Oil – Forex Trading Signal

The idea is to stay bearish in crude oil below 56.705 with a take profit at 56.405 and stop-loss at 57.10. Good luck!

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About the author

Arslan Butt // Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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