Dovish Tones From the ECB Should Keep the Euro Bearish in the Long Run

The ECB kept rates on hold again, but the statement seemed pretty dovish in the long run for the Euro

Skerdian Meta•Thursday, December 12, 2019•1 min read

The European Central Bank held its monthly meeting just a while ago. They were expected to keep rates unchanged and they did. The ECB held its interest rates on hold as expected at 0.0%, deposit rates at -0.50% and the marginal lending facility 0.25%.

So, no change there, but the statement looked pretty dovish. The statement says that rates are to remain at present or lower levels until inflation outlook robustly converges to a level sufficiently close to, but below, 2%. Well, it’s going to be a looong time until then, which should keep the Euro bearish.

Bond buying to continue until shortly before rates are raised, so this is going to take really long too. The ECB expects the QE programme to run for as long as necessary to reinforce accommodative impact of rates. The Euro didn’t mind much, but these comments should keep the Euro down in the long term.

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Skerdian Meta

Lead Analyst

Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.