⚡Crypto Alert : Altcoins are up 28% in just last month! Unlock gains and start trading now - Click Here

Selling the Retrace in AUD/USD Below the 50 SMA

AUD/USD has turned bearish this month, after being bullish since October. The long term trend which started about two years ago is bearish, but we saw a reversal in October as US and China were heading towards the Phase One deal and the reversal picked up pace towards the end of the year, as year-end cash flows pushed the USD lower.

But, the retrace higher ended as soon as the new year began. The year-end cash flows ended and the USD has turned bullish since then. The increased tensions in the Middle East between US and Iran hurt the sentiment in financial markets and as a result, risk assets such as Commodity Dollars turned bearish.

AUD/USD has been declining for three weeks now and moving averages turned from support into resistance on higher time-frame charts as well as on smaller charts. The 50 SMA (yellow) has turned into resistance on the H1 chart in the last few days and right now the price is right below it, after having retraced during the European session today. The retrace is complete on this time-frame now, so we decided to take this opportunity and go short on AUD/USD.

Check out our free forex signals
Follow the top economic events on FX Leaders economic calendar
Trade better, discover more Forex Trading Strategies
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Avatar
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
Related Articles
🔒 OPEN A TRADING ACCOUNT