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Bears Dominate WTI Crude Oil – Surge in Supply Forecast in Play

Today in the early Asian session, WTI crude oil prices dropped because the forecast report came from the International Energy Agency that the supply of crude oil will likely increase.

Another statement came from Goldman Sachs that oil markets are expected to be affected in the wake of China’s deadly coronavirus, mainly if it played out like the SARS epidemic in 2003. The virus that started in Wuhan and which influences the global demand that is falling by 260,000 barrels a day in 2020, the investment bank said. That would probably lead to a $2.90 a barrel decline in oil prices.

However, US crude production still in large shale deposits is expected to rise to record highs in February, although the speed of increase is expected to be the lowest in about one year, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday.

Eventually, traders will also keep their eyes on the trade and political headlines for taking fresh directions.


Daily Support and Resistance
S3 56.12
S2 57.18
S1 57.71
Pivot Point 58.24
R1 58.77
R2 59.3
R3 60.36

WTI is trading at 57.86, having immediate support around 57.40, while resistance stays around 58.45. The RSI is dramatically oversold, but the trading sentiment still remains bearish as WTI has formed three black crows on the 2-hour chart. Let’s look for selling trades below 58 to target 57.40. Good luck!

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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