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WTI Crude Oil Prices Fall to 3-Month Low – China Virus Fears Dominate

WTI crude oil prices hit 3-month lows mainly due to the spread of a new China coronavirus, and many countries’ heightened concerns about a hit to economic growth and oil demand. The US West Texas Intermediate was down 29 cents, or 0.6%, at $52.85, after slipping to its lowest since early October in the previous session at $52.13.

It is worth mentioningmention that the United States warned against travel to China and other countries put out similar advisories because the death toll from the coronavirus outbreak increased to more than 100 people and left millions of Chinese stranded during the biggest holiday of the year. Additionally, the statement came from China’s health officials that the coronavirus could be much more dangerous than earlier thought. As we know, this dangerous virus has killed more than 100 people and more than 30,000 are infected so far in China. Whereas, WTI was down almost 12% for January on Monday, its biggest slide since November 2018.

On the other hand, trains and airplanes are not running, and factories are closed as well which will likely cause a historic hit to energy demand. The result may be worse because it is possible that this could slow not only the Chinese economy but the global economy as well.

The markets expect the grouping known as OPEC+ to take additional actions to support prices when it meets in March if demand lags its forecast of between 600,000 and 800,000 barrels per day (bpd) in the first quarter of 2020. OPEC and producers including Russia, known as OPEC+, have been cutting supply to support oil prices for almost three years and recently agreed to withhold a further 500,000 barrels bpd to 1.7 million bpd through March.

Daily Support and Resistance
S3 50.02
S2 51.44
S1 52.14
Pivot Point 52.85
R1 53.55
R2 54.27
R3 55.68

WTI prices are heading towards a triple bottom support area of 51.25, where the closing of candles above this level helps drive bullish bias in crude oil prices. The RSI and MACD are likely to drive bullish bias in crude oil. On the higher side, crude oil may soar higher towards 54 and 55.25. Good luck!

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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