Manufacturing Improves in Germany, but Remains in Contraction

Manufacturing has been in recession in Europe for about a year now. The European Central Bank has eased the monetary policy further, cutting deposit rates to -0.50% and restarting the QE programme late last year. That seems to be having some positive effects already, as we have seen services and manufacturing stop weakening further.

Today’s manufacturing report from the Eurozone showed further improvement, as did the German manufacturing figures. Below are the reports from Germany and the Eurozone:

German Manufacturing Report

  • Germany February flash manufacturing PMI 47.8 vs 44.8 expected
  • Prior 45.3
  • Services PMI 53.3 vs 53.8 expected
  • Prior 54.2
  • Composite PMI 51.1 vs 50.7 expected
  • Prior 51.2
Eurozone Manufacturing Report
  • Eurozone February flash manufacturing PMI 49.1 vs 47.4 expected
  • Prior 47.9
  • Services PMI 52.8 vs 52.3 expected
  • Prior 52.5
  • Composite PMI 51.6 vs 51.0 expected
  • Prior 51.3

A solid beat in the manufacturing reading and that will give the euro something to cheer about after a poor run of recent economic data. Markit also notes that the coronavirus epidemic is having a “fairly limited” impact on manufacturing production disruption and supply issues and that is definitely positive news if the virus can be contained within the realms of Q1 2020.

So, positive numbers from Europe today. Manufacturing still remains in recession, but seems like it will leave recession behind soon, if the situation keeps improving. The Euro jumped around 30 pips higher, but has reversed down now.
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Skerdian Meta
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Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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