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Household Spending Declines in Japan Even as Real Wages Climb Higher

Household spending in Japan continued to stay depressed for the fourth consecutive month during January, as a result of the sales tax hike from October. According to data released by the government, household spending in Japan fell by 3.9% YoY during January, slightly better than the 4.0% decline forecast by economists.

Household spending is likely to take a bigger hit in February on account of the coronavirus outbreak and a recession in the Japanese economy looks imminent for the first time in almost five years. Domestic consumption had remained under strain in Japan as a result of the government’s decision to hike sales tax from 8% to 10% even as the economy battled the fallout effects from the US-China trade war through 2019.

On a positive note, however, real wages in Japan posted a slight increase during January. Inflation-adjusted wages climbed 0.7% higher YoY in January after declining by 1.1% in the previous month. Higher wages could lend a boost to consumer spending and help the economy, but the outlook remains bleak in Japan as it tries to contain the spread of the coronavirus.

In the wake of recent weak economic data releases and the coronavirus outbreak, a recent Reuters poll indicates that the Bank of Japan could further ease its monetary policy at its upcoming meeting this month. Nearly 90% of economists polled anticipate that the central bank could roll out more monetary stimulus measures to protect the Japanese economy from damage due to the outbreak.

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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