Japan’s Q4 2019 GDP Contracts at Sharpest Pace Since April 2014 - Forex News by FX Leaders
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Japan’s Q4 2019 GDP Contracts at Sharpest Pace Since April 2014

Posted Monday, March 9, 2020 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

The contraction in Japan’s economy during Q4 2019 has exceeded economists expectations, heightening the likelihood of an upcoming recession this year on account of the coronavirus outbreak which is likely to dent economic growth further, at least in Q1 2020. Latest data released by the government reveals that the Japanese economy shrank by 7.1% in Q4 2019, the fastest pace seen in over five years.

The updated figure has come in worse than the preliminary reading, which anticipated a 6.3% contraction, while economists had forecast a 6.6% decline in GDP. A larger than expected decline in capital expenditure is one of the main drivers behind this severe contraction.

In Q4 2019, capital spending declined by 4.6% – the steepest drop seen since 2009 and worse than the preliminary figure of -3.7%. The economy faced additional strain after domestic consumption dropped by 2.8% QoQ in Q4 2019, as a result of the sales tax hike which was rolled out in October.

Japan’s economy is expected to perform even worse in Q1 2020 as a result of the increased risks from the spread of the coronavirus. This could very well drive a recession in the economy, with two consecutive quarters of contraction in GDP.

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About the author

Arslan Butt // Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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