Inflation Softens Further in Europe in March

Inflation weakened considerably last year in the Eurozone, as the trade war between US and China hurt the global economy. It bottomed in October, when the headline CPI (consumer price index) fell to 0.7% on an annualized basis, while core CPI bottomed in July/August at 0.8%.

We saw an increase in the last few months of last year, with core CPI peaking at 1.3% in January and headline CPI at 1.4%. But, in February we saw a slight decline in both numbers as Crude Oil declined on the Saudi Arabia-Russia price war. Crude Oil prices and other energy products have crashed further which has hurt inflation further, bringing it to the low levels we saw last year. Below is the inflation report for March:

  • March preliminary CPI YoY +0.7% vs +0.8% expected
  • February CPI YoY +1.2%
  • Core CPI March YoY +1.0% vs +1.1% expected
  • February core CPI +1.2%

The headline figure declined hard by 0.5%. more than expected, owing to the drop in energy prices over the past few weeks. However, the core reading is also seen weakening and that isn’t quite good news as inflation pressures continue to go nowhere.

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Skerdian Meta
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Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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