MAs Turn From Resistance Into Support for Crude Oil

Crude Oil is retracing higher and MAs have turned from resistance to support

Skerdian Meta•Monday, May 4, 2020•1 min read

Is the trend changing in Oil as the world reopens?

Crude Oil crashed lower below $20 in March, as Saudi Arabia flooded markets with cheap Oil. We saw a retrace back up after OPEC+ decided to cut production by 9.7 million barrels/day. Although, the pullback ended pretty quick and the bearish trend resumed again.

At some point, US WTI crude fell to -$37, but it has retraced back up since then. During the decline, moving averages such as the 20 SMA (grey) and the 50 SMA (yellow) were providing resistance during the pullbacks, or during consolidation periods.

But, we have seen a retrace since the middle of last week and the price moved above them by the end of last week. Now, it seems like they have turned into support. In fact, it’s the 20 SMA which has switched places, which also shows that buyers are coming in as soon as they see an opportunity.

This is not exactly a trend reversal, but it is a respectable attempt to increase the price somewhat. Sellers still remain in charge and we will try to sell further up, probably close to $20, but as the West starts to reopen the economy, we might see a bigger rebound on crude Oil. It all depends on how the reopening will go though.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Skerdian Meta

Lead Analyst

Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.