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Crude Oil Falls Below the 50 SMA

Crude Oil made quite a comeback in the last several weeks, after it tumbled lower in two phases in March and paril. The first decline came after Russia refused to join OPEC+ in cutting production, which sent US WTI crude below $20 in March, while th second wave of selling came after Saudi Arabia flooded markets with cheap Oil, leaving no storage room for US producers.

As a result, US WTI crude Oil fell below $0 for the first time ever and it reached -$37.50. But, the decline stopped by April 20 and crude Oil has been climbing higher since then. We saw the 50 SMA (yellow) turn into resistance for some time in April, but eventually that moving average got broken.

The 50 SMA turned into support  in May as the price moved above it and has been pushing the price higher throughout this month. Although, today we are seeing a bearish reversal and the price has fallen below the 50 SMA again on the H4 chart. Now, WTI Oil seems to be heading for $31 and then $30, where we might open a buy signal, if sellers start to get exhausted down there.

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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