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Canadian Economy Takes A Dive in March, With April Expected to Be Worse

The GDP report from Canada was released a while ago. The economy was already weak towards the end of last year and in the first two months of 2020, with February coming flat at 0.0%. But, thecoronavirus outbreak with the shut-down was going to change things for the worse, much worse. For March, the report showed a big 7.2% decline in the GDP, while the economy contracted by 8.2% in Q1. Below is the report:


Canada First Quarter GDP Report

  • March GDP -7.2% vs -9.0% expected
  • February GDP stood at 0.0%
  • Q1 GDP -8.2% vs -10.0% expected
  • Q4 of 2019 was +0.3% (unrevised)
  • Q1 GDP -8.2% vs -10.0% expected
  • -2.1% QoQ drop
  • Sharpest drop since Q1 2009
  • Household spending -2.3% in Q1, worst ever
  • Exports -3.0%
  • Imports -2.8%
  • Inventories -$3.7B
There’s nothing surprising in this report. Q1 is bad, but Q2 is going to blow away the numbers we see here, especially with so much of Canada still locked down. The CAD has turned quite bearish, declining against the USD in the last couple of hours, since the report was released, considering that the USD is quite bearish itself.


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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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