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UK GDP Takes A Dive in November As Expected

Posted Friday, January 15, 2021 by
Skerdian Meta • 1 min read

UK November GDP contracts by 2.6%

The UK economy was already weak before the restrictions started again in November. The service sector, which is the largest one, fell into contraction in September, and the rest of the economy followed suit in November, as restrictions tightened. As things are gong, it’s going to get worse before it gets any better, with the lockdowns intensifying in December and January.

November GDP MoM -2.6% vs -4.6% expected
October GDP MoM +0.4%; revised to +0.6%
GDP 3m/3m +4.1% vs +3.3% expected
Prior GDP 3m/3m +10.2%; revised to +10.5%

The UK economy contracted in the month of November, as lockdown measures were reinstated during the month. That said, the decline was much less than estimated, so that is at least a bit of a plus, but the market isn’t all too interested at this stage.

The focus remains more on how things are going at the moment, and the outlook for the future, so data stretching back to last year – especially November – is rather outdated by now. ONS notes that the service sector was the main drag on November economic output, with activity running 9.9% below the level seen in February last year.

Below, you can see the factory activity data that was released at the same time: